1. When rating indicators on the three criteria, listen
to the dissenters; they often know something important that the rest of the
group doesn't.
2. An indicator takes two forms: a
lay definition that everyone can understand and a technical definition that
describes exactly how it is calculated.
3. Don't create compound indicators that
combine a measure and a target. Keep targets as a separate process.
Advice from:
Organizational Resources
References
The Short Answer
1. Start by assessing the result in terms of everyday
experience, what we see hear, or feel about children ready for school or stable
families.
2. Brainstorm a list of candidate indicators. Each entry is a
data statement, e.g. % of children reading at grade level, rate of foster
children per 100,000.
3. Assess each entry on the basis of communication power (do
people understand it) proxy power (does it represent the result) and data power
(do you have quality data on a timely basis).
4. Develop a three part list: the 3 or 4 headline indicators you
could use in the public square, the secondary indicators you will use for the
story behind the curve and other behind the scenes work, and a data development agenda so you can get better data
in the future.
Full Answer
(1) Indicators (or benchmarks)
are measures which help quantify the achievement of a result. They answer
the question "How would we recognize these results in measurable terms if
we fell over them?" So, for example, the rate of low-birthweight babies
helps quantify whether we're getting healthy births or not. Third grade reading
scores help quantify whether children are succeeding in school today, and
whether they were ready for school three years ago. The crime rate helps
quantify whether we are living in safe communities, etc.
(2) All indicators and performance measures
take two forms: a lay
definition and a technical definition. The lay definition (e.g. teen pregnancy
rate) should rate high on communication power, something that laypersons can
understand. The technical definition describes exactly how the data element is
constructed and where the data comes from. For example: The teen pregnancy rate
is the total number of births to teens, as reported by the largest hospitals in
the county, divided by the total population of females age 12 to 17, calculated
as the percent of such age group in the last census, multiplied time the current
CPS estimate of total county population, adjusted for population growth.
It is actually important to reach agreement on both the lay and technical
definitions of the indicator (or performance measure) in the selection process
itself. This may require some help from a data expert, and may take some time to
completely resolve. Get as far as you can in the first session without getting
hung up, and then refine the definition in future meetings of the group. Here's
why this is important:
Every time you change the technical construction of an
indicator you create a new indicator! This new indicator must be considered
(rated on CPD powers) against other choices. When talking about variations most
of the discussion is about data power (Do we have it? Is it any good?) and
proxy power (Does it represent what we want it to represent?). Take the example
of "rate of domestic violence," the lay definition of an indicator
usually used as a proxy for a result like "safe and stable families."
When it comes to technical definition, there are a lot of choices, particularly
for the numerator. Is this total of monthly incidences reported from police
records, or from requests for help from domestic violence shelters and programs,
or from a household survey of prevalence conducted by the local university, but
produced only once? In some communities, police records are thought to be
unreliable and to understate incidence. Shelter records undercount incidence
because on those women who seek shelter are counted. Neither count is
unduplicated. Either might still be a good proxy, provided that these problems
are fully explained in the "story behind the curve," and figured in
the interpretation of the data.
(3) The plain truth is that
it is often hard to find good data about the well-being of children and
families. Data for young children is particularly difficult. We often don=t count things
until children enter school. Data systems for young children lag behind data
systems for all children, which lag behind data systems used by government
which lag behind data systems used by business and the private sector. To
compound the problem, what we count is usually things that have gone wrong:
child abuse, child neglect, injury, death, hospitalizations etc. Very rarely
do we count positive situations, characteristics or events.[2
In spite of these problems, it
is possible to find indicators for child and family well-being. It
is important first to revisit the purpose of choosing indicators for a result.
It is to help us know how we could recognize this desired condition of
well-being, and how we can
know if we are making progress. Without indicator data, we are left to argue
about perceptions and anecdotes which come to our attention through the media
or other sources. If we are to be business-like about improving the conditions
of well-being for these children, then we must be business-like about using
data to steer our decisions and assess our progress.
(3) Here is a step by step way
of identifying indicators:
!Start by assessing experience: How do we experience
children healthy and ready for school, or children succeeding in school or
stable and self sufficient families?Partners
around the table can create a working list of Aexperiences@
in a brainstorm session. It is possible to add to this list from consultation
with community members, professionals, parents and the academic community. By
experience, we mean, how do we see, hear, or feel the condition? What do we
see on the street? What do we see in our everyday work and personal lives?
Remember that different cultures and communities may experience health and
school readiness in different ways.
There are two reasons for starting with experience. First, each experience is
a pointer to a potential indicator. If we experience children absent from
child care or kindergarten due to illness, we can possibly count absentee
rates in child care or kindergarten. If we experience children playing safely
on playgrounds, we can possibly count rates of playground injury for young
children .
The second reason for starting with experience is that it grounds the work in
the common sense view of every day citizens. Too often, planning processes are
the province of professionals and providers who talk in esoteric and
inaccessible ways. If this work is to take hold in the community and energize
the community to take action, it is necessary to build and communicate the
work in clear and common sense ways. This is not an argument against rigor and
discipline. Quite the opposite. It is an argument to start the disciplined
thinking process where our partners and our constituents are.
Finally, the way we experience
results can be used to drive the thinking and planning process where indicator
data is insufficient. We may have trouble finding good data to assess whether
children are well nourished or have good motor skills at school entry. This
does not mean that these conditions are unimportant. We can think together
about Awhat works@
to produce these conditions and use this thinking to fashion our action plan.
See 2.9 What do we do if we don't have any good data at all?
!Develop a set of candidate indicators: The collaborative
or working group should brainstorm a list of candidate indicators. In most
cases, it should not be necessary to start from scratch. Many states and
counties have developed a set of results and indicators and have published
report cards presenting actual data on the indicators. There are a number of
resources available to help which can be accessed on line. See Resources
and References for organization and website connections. The Foundation
Consortium has developed a guide to indicators in California.[3] And communities may have unique resources in this area if, for example, they
have commissioned surveys offamilies
or youth.
Remember: It
is important to include as many members of the community as possible in this
thinking process. And be sure to tap the expertise of your partners in the
academic community, some of whom have spent their whole careers thinking about
these very questions.
A word about the notion of
leading and lagging indicators. In economics, we have leading and lagging
indicators of the health of the economy. Leading indicators are indicators
which show a change of direction before the change appears in the general
economy (e.g. orders for durable good). Lagging indicators reflect the change
in the economy after it has happened (e.g. unemployment rates). When it comes
to the well-being of young children (prenatal to age 5) much of the data we
have are lagging indicators. The percentage of 3rd graders reading
at grade level is a lagging indicator of how ready those children were
for school 3 or 4 years earlier. These are still valuable measures. And it is
possible to gear the planning process around AWhat
would it take to produce better 3rd grade reading scores four years
from now?@
Lagging indicators bring a healthy and useful perspective.
!Choose the best of what=s
available:
Shortcut
Method
for Choosing Indicators
HEADLINE MEASURES: Identify the candidate indicators for which there is (good) data. This means decent data is
available today (or could be produced with little effort). Circle each
one of these measures with a colored marker. Ask "If you had to talk
about the result in a public place with just one of these circled measures, which one would it
be?" Put a star by the answer. Then ask "If you could have a second
measure... and a third?" You should identify no more than 4 or 5 measures. These choices
represent a working
list of headline measures for the result.
DATA DEVELOPMENT AGENDA: Ask "If you could buy one of the
measures for which you don't have data, which one would it be?" Mark that
with a different colored marker. "If you could have a second measure...
and a third?" List
4 or 5 measures. These is the beginning of your data development agenda in priority order.
Given a set
of candidate indicators, it is then possible to use criteria to select the
best indicators to represent the result. Using the best of what=s available necessarily means that this will be about approximation
and compromise. If we had a thousand measures, we could still not fully
capture the health and readiness of young children. We use data to approximate
these conditions and to stand as proxies for them. There are three criteria
which can be used to identify the best measures:
Communication Power:
Does the indicator communicate to a broad range of audiences? It is possible
to think of this in terms of the public square test. If you had to
stand in a public square and explain to your neighbors "what we mean, in this
community, by children healthy and ready for school," what two or three
pieces of data would you use? Obviously you could bring a thick report to the
square and begin a long recitation, but the crowd would thin quickly. It is
hard for people to listen to, absorb or understand more than a few pieces of
data at time. They must be common sense, and compelling, not arcane and
bureaucratic. Communication power means that the data must have clarity with
diverse audiences.
Proxy Power:
Does the indicator say something of central importance about the result? (Or
is it peripheral?) Can this measure stand as a proxy for the plain English
statement of well-being? What pieces of data really get at the heart of the
matter?
Another simple truth about indicators is that they run in herds. If
one indicator is going in the right direction, often others are as well. You
do not need 20 indicators telling you the same thing. Pick the indicators
which have the greatest proxy power, i.e. those which are most likely to match
the direction of the other indicators in the herd
Data Power:
Do we have quality data on a timely basis? We need data which is reliable andconsistent. And we need timely data so we can see progress - or the
lack thereof -on a regular and
frequent basis. Problems with data availability, quality or timeliness can be
addressed as part of the data development agenda
!Identify primary and secondary indicators, and a data development
agenda. When you have assessed the candidate indicators using these
criteria, you will have sorted indicators into three categories:
Primary indicators: those 3 or 4 most important measures which can be used as proxies
in the public process for the result. You could use
20 or 40, but peoples= eyes would glaze over. We need a handful of measures to tell us
how we=re doing at the
highest level.
Secondary indicators: All the other data that=s
any good. We will use these measures in assessing the story behind the
baselines, and in the Abehind
the scenes@
planning work. We do not throw away good data. We need every bit of
information we can get our hands on to do this work well.
A data development agenda: It is essential that we include investments in new and better
data as an active part of our work. This means the creation of a data
development agenda - a set of priorities of where we need to get better.
It is a judgement call about how much to spend on such an agenda.
Spending for data or any other administrative function should be
carefully balanced with spending which directly benefits children and their
families. As a rule such spending should not exceed 5 to 10% of a
budget. And data investments are only part of that amount. This means that other
partners will have to make contributions to this effort. And it means that not
all data has to be of the highest research quality. At this stage of our
learning about how to use data to make decisions, it is OK to use sampling and
other techniques to get usable information that may not meet strict academic
research standards.[6]
(4) Do not create compound indicators: When constructing indicators it is best
if you do not combine indicators and targets. For example: Teen Pregnancies will
decrease to no more than 5 per 1000 births. There are several reasons for
this. First you do not want to change your indicator every time you change your
target.. Second, you set yourself up for a very particular kind of damaging
criticism. If you define the indicator in terms of a specific level of accomplishment
or increase, then you will be often be asked "are you there
yet?" You will be backed into reporting your status as failure if you are
not yet at your defined target. Third you inadvertently communicate that a
certain level of failure is OK. Our indicator is 90% high school graduation
rate, suggests that it's OK if 10% do not graduate. Finally, it is important to
set targets in relationship to a baseline for them to be believable. There are
many ways to do this (LINK). But putting the target into the definition of the
indicator itself makes this much more difficult. The baseline will change, the
sense of what is possible will change, and targets should change
accordingly.